My personal opinion on how climate change will play out.
Symptoms to Fear
Negative events related to climate change I expect to happen in my lifetime
- Price of coffee, cocoa and other climate-sensitive crops increase 5-10x
- 80% of major economies in the west are ruled by populists
- Two-front proxy-war between Global South and The West
- Local famine in China
- Local famine in India
- Famine in South America (Venezuela, Argentina perhaps)
- Armies assist border control in EU on migration paths
- 4 quarters of continuous recession in the US and EU
- <5% growth in China for three consecutive years
- High quality, affordable synthetic food shows up on the market
- Total war in the Arab-Isreali region
- European & Global West integration halts
- Significant civil unrest in every major economic block in parallel
- Armed civil unrest within the EU (Greece? France?)
- Weather-alteration projects get massive funding
Symptoms to Cheer
Positive events related to climate change I expect to happen in my lifetime. Note that some are featured on the Positive list too
- Sweden reaches carbon neutrality
- Population growth stops
- Significant breakthrough in developing more weather-resistent crops
- Major German auto manufacturers stop producing cars running on fossil fuels
- High quality, affordable synthetic food shows up on the market
- 4 quarters of continuous recession in the US and EU
- <5% growth in China for three consecutive years
- Weather-alteration projects get massive funding